Started Jun 12, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 07, 2020 06:59AM UTC

When will available Adult Intensive Care Unit (ICU) bed capacity in Arizona fall below 5.0%?

Tags
Health  
Challenges


Arizona has seen a sharp increase in COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations since the state stay-at-home order expired 15 May 2020 (12News, AZ Big Media). The outcome will be determined using data provided on the Arizona Department of Health Services' Data Dashboard (COVID-19 Data Dashboard). Click the "Hospital Bed Usage & Availability" icon to bring up the relevant chart, making sure that the "ICU Bed Usage & Availability" tab is selected. The data for each date are broken into two segments ("Available" and "In Use"), which will be displayed by hovering your cursor over the relevant segment. For 1 June 2020, there were 1,253 beds in use and 419 beds available, which put available bed capacity at 25.1%. Percentages shown of the site will not be used for resolution.

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The question closed "Not before 7 August 2020" with a closing date of 7 August 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 26 June 2020 0%
Between 26 June 2020 and 9 July 2020 0%
Between 10 July 2020 and 23 July 2020 0%
Between 24 July 2020 and 6 August 2020 0%
Not before 7 August 2020 100%

No. of
Forecasters

202

Forecast
Count

1184

Crowd Brier Score

0.4013


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.368
2.
-0.365
3.
-0.361
4.
-0.361
5.
-0.361