Started Jun 19, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 27, 2020 10:00PM UTC

How many countries other than the U.S. and Brazil will have more than one million total confirmed cases of COVID-19 as of 31 December 2020?

Tags
Health  
Challenges

The outcome will be determined based on data provided by the World Health Organization for 31 December 2020 (WHO Situation Reports, WHO).

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NOTE 17 August 2020: Starting on Monday 17 August, the World Health Organization ceased to provide its daily updates via Situation reports (WHO, see first entry under "Highlights") and is directing data users to use its dashboard (COVID-19 global dashboard). The data provided on WHO's "COVID-19 global dashboard" at approximately 5:00PM ET on 31 December 2020 will now be used to resolve this question.


The question closed "10 or more" with a closing date of 27 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0 or 1 0%
2 or 3 0%
4, 5, or 6 0%
7, 8, or 9 0%
10 or more 100%

No. of
Forecasters

269

Forecast
Count

1797

Crowd Brier Score

0.6487


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.807
2.
-0.783
3.
-0.771
4.
-0.738
5.
-0.69

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