A violent clash in mid-June 2020 between soldiers along a disputed stretch of border between India and China left at least 20 dead, sparking concerns over a further escalation of tensions between the two neighbors (Economist, BBC, CNN). A lethal confrontation is one that results in one fatality for the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement of either side.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

After extensive review and evaluation of all available reporting, we have concluded that there is insufficient evidence to resolve this question as "Yes". We reviewed events involving Shamsher Ali Khan, Nima Tenzin, and others as potential resolving events and we didn't find any instances which fulfilled all of the elements required for resolution. The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.