The Dubai Future Experts Candidates asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will the Barakah nuclear power plant begin to supply electricity to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) power grid?

Started Jun 26, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

In an attempt to diversify its energy supply, the UAE has been constructing a nuclear power plant in cooperation with the Korea Electric Power Corp. (Bloomberg, World Nuclear Association). The first of four reactors has an operating license and is undergoing testing (Power Engineering, ME Construction News). Testing alone would not count.

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NOTE 28 September 2020: For the purposes of this question, power ascension testing is considered testing and will not close the question.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 88
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 350
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.44
2.
-1.343
4.
-1.32
5.
-1.299

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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