When will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 6.0% in the second half of 2020?
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
The usually default-resistant leveraged loan asset class hit a 6-year high default rate in May 2020, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence (S&P Global, Forbes, Bloomberg). The outcome will be determined using the U.S. leveraged loan default rates published by S&P Global Market Intelligence at https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/campaigns/leveraged-loan. Click the tab for "Default Rate" for "Leveraged loan default rates - US (principal amount)."
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The question closed "Not before January 2021" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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July 2020 or August 2020 | 0% | |
September 2020 or October 2020 | 0% | |
November 2020 or December 2020 | 0% | |
Not before January 2021 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 111 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 459 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |