Question 12 of 33 in Coronavirus Outbreak
Started Jun 26, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

When will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 6.0% in the second half of 2020?

The usually default-resistant leveraged loan asset class hit a 6-year high default rate in May 2020, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence (S&P Global, Forbes, Bloomberg). The outcome will be determined using the U.S. leveraged loan default rates published by S&P Global Market Intelligence at https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/campaigns/leveraged-loan. Click the tab for "Default Rate" for "Leveraged loan default rates - US (principal amount)."

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Name Probability
July 2020 or August 2020 0%
September 2020 or October 2020 8%
November 2020 or December 2020 51%
Not before January 2021 41%

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