Question 49 of 118 in In the News 2020
Started Jun 26, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

What will U.S. holiday season retail sales be for 2020 relative to the 2019 holiday season?

U.S. retail sales have had dramatic swings during the COVID-19 pandemic, placing the fate of retailers’ all-important holiday season in flux
(Bloomberg, AP). The outcome will be determined using data from the National Retail Federation for 2020 holiday retails sales relative to the same period in 2019, expected in early 2021 (National Retail Federation).

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Name Probability
Lower by more than 12.0% 21%
Lower by between 8.0% and 12.0%, inclusive 30%
Lower by more than 4.0% but less than 8.0% 35%
Lower by between 0.0% and 4.0%, inclusive 14%
Higher by more than 0.0% 0%

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