How many total deaths attributed to COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for Brazil as of 1 October 2020?

Started Jun 26, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2020 07:01AM UTC
Tags
Health  

Deaths from the COVID-19 outbreak in Brazil have been among the highest in the world (The Scientist, CNBC). The outcome will be determined based on data provided by WHO as of 1 October 2020 and inclusive of deaths reported before this question's launch (WHO).

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NOTE 17 August 2020: Starting on Monday 17 August, the World Health Organization ceased to provide its daily updates via Situation reports (WHO, see first entry under "Highlights") and is directing data users to use its dashboard (COVID-19 global dashboard). The data provided on WHO's "COVID-19 global dashboard" at approximately 5:00PM ET on 1 October 2020 will now be used to resolve this question.


The question closed "More than 120,000 but fewer than 150,000" with a closing date of 1 October 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 90,000 0%
Between 90,000 and 120,000, inclusive 0%
More than 120,000 but fewer than 150,000 100%
Between 150,000 and 180,000, inclusive 0%
More than 180,000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 183
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1146
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.11762
3.
-0.11646
4.
-0.113187

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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