How many U.S. states will have a 1.0 or greater effective reproduction number (Rt) for COVID-19 as of 31 August 2020?
Closed Aug 31, 2020 06:59AM UTC
The Rt is "the average number of people who become infected by an infectious person" (Rt.live). The outcome will be determined by the latest Rt COVID-19 data for states with an Rt estimate of 1.0 or greater as of 31 August 2020 at https://rt.live. As of 2 July 2020, 38 states were at or above a 1.0 estimate. For the purposes of this question, the District of Columbia is considered a state.
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The question closed "24 or fewer" with a closing date of 31 August 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
24 or fewer | 100% | |
Between 25 and 30 | 0% | |
Between 31 and 36 | 0% | |
Between 37 and 42 | 0% | |
43 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 155 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 712 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |