On 1 September 2020, how many states will report a COVID-19 fatality rate of 5.0% or higher?
Started
Jul 02, 2020 10:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
As the U.S. tries to reduce COVID-19 cases, the question remains whether the U.S. health care system can handle the load (CDC). The outcome will be determined based on the data provided in the chart “Can Our Health System Handle the Spread?” under "CASE FATALITY RATE" found at https://www.covidexitstrategy.org at 5:00PM ET on 1 September 2020.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
The question closed "Between 7 and 12" with a closing date of 1 September 2020.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 6 or fewer | 0% | |
| Between 7 and 12 | 100% | |
| Between 13 and 18 | 0% | |
| Between 19 and 24 | 0% | |
| 25 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 171 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 702 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
