Started Jul 24, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 16, 2021 08:01AM UTC

When will a Carnival Cruise Line cruise next depart from the continental U.S.?

The U.S. government imposed a "No Sail Order" on cruise ships in March 2020, which has been repeatedly extended (CDC, CNBC). A cruise must include ticketed passengers to count.

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Note 17 August 2020: "Carnival Cruise Lines" was made plural in error. It has been corrected.


The question closed "Not before 16 January 2021" with a closing date of 16 January 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 2 October 2020 0%
Between 2 October 2020 and 23 November 2020 0%
Between 24 November 2020 and 15 January 2021 0%
Not before 16 January 2021 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 258
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 829
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.005
2.
-0.005
3.
-0.005
4.
-0.005
5.
-0.005

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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