When will a Carnival Cruise Line cruise next depart from the continental U.S.?

Started Jul 24, 2020 05:00PM UTC • Closed Jan 16, 2021 08:01AM UTC

When will a Carnival Cruise Line cruise next depart from the continental U.S.?

The U.S. government imposed a "No Sail Order" on cruise ships in March 2020, which has been repeatedly extended (CDC, CNBC). A cruise must include ticketed passengers to count.

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Note 17 August 2020: "Carnival Cruise Lines" was made plural in error. It has been corrected.

The question closed "Not before 16 January 2021" with a closing date of 16 January 2021.

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Possible Answer	Correct?	Final Crowd Forecast
Before 2 October 2020		0%
Between 2 October 2020 and 23 November 2020		0%
Between 24 November 2020 and 15 January 2021		0%
Not before 16 January 2021		100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters	258
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts	829
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683

Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters	average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

bharatshyam

-0.005

affs06

-0.005

Lestatbq

-0.005

Matthewstt

-0.005

Blaine-Jones

-0.005