When will a Carnival Cruise Line cruise next depart from the continental U.S.?
Started
Jul 24, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 16, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 16, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
The U.S. government imposed a "No Sail Order" on cruise ships in March 2020, which has been repeatedly extended (CDC, CNBC). A cruise must include ticketed passengers to count.
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Note 17 August 2020: "Carnival Cruise Lines" was made plural in error. It has been corrected.
The question closed "Not before 16 January 2021" with a closing date of 16 January 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 2 October 2020 | 0% | |
| Between 2 October 2020 and 23 November 2020 | 0% | |
| Between 24 November 2020 and 15 January 2021 | 0% | |
| Not before 16 January 2021 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 258 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 829 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
