Started Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

How many homicides will there be in Chicago, IL, in 2020?

Tags
Society   Health  
Challenges

While violent crime fell significantly in many parts of the U.S. as stay-at-home orders related to COVID-19 were implemented, the city of Chicago has had no reprieve (France24, Newsweek). The outcome will be determined using data provided by the Chicago Tribune (Chicago Tribune).

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The question closed "Between 736 and 795" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 676 0%
Between 676 and 735 0%
Between 736 and 795 100%
More than 795 0%

No. of
Forecasters

98

Forecast
Count

732

Crowd Brier Score

0.0441


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.114
3.
-0.108
4.
-0.093
5.
-0.076

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