How many homicides will there be in Chicago, IL, in 2020?
Started
Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
While violent crime fell significantly in many parts of the U.S. as stay-at-home orders related to COVID-19 were implemented, the city of Chicago has had no reprieve (France24, Newsweek). The outcome will be determined using data provided by the Chicago Tribune (Chicago Tribune).
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The question closed "Between 736 and 795" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 676 | 0% | |
| Between 676 and 735 | 0% | |
| Between 736 and 795 | 100% | |
| More than 795 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 98 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 732 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
