Who will win the election for California's 25th Congressional District in 2020?

Started Aug 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Democrats hoping to maintain control after retaking the House in the 2018 midterm elections (270 To Win, Real Clear Politics).

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The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 55%
The Republican Party candidate 45%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 76
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 308
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.439
2.
-0.42
3.
-0.402
4.
-0.384
5.
-0.372

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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