Who will win the election for Illinois' 13th Congressional District in 2020?

Started Aug 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Democrats hoping to maintain control after retaking the House in the 2018 midterm elections (270 To Win, Real Clear Politics).

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The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 38%
The Republican Party candidate 62%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 73
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 262
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.403
2.
-0.395
3.
-0.39
5.
-0.36

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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