Before 11 November 2020, will Alexander Lukashenko cease to be the president of Belarus?

Started Aug 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 11, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Challenges

Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, often called "Europe's Last Dictator," reported won the 9 August 2020 presidential election by a wide margin, but accusations of vote-rigging have turned to violent protests in the country (NPR, BBC, Atlantic Council).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 11 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 291
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1093
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.028343
2.
-0.028343
3.
-0.028343
4.
-0.028343

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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