Started Aug 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 11, 2020 08:01AM UTC

Before 11 November 2020, will Alexander Lukashenko cease to be the president of Belarus?

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Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, often called "Europe's Last Dictator," reported won the 9 August 2020 presidential election by a wide margin, but accusations of vote-rigging have turned to violent protests in the country (NPR, BBC, Atlantic Council).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 11 November 2020.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

291

Forecast
Count

1093

Crowd Brier Score

0.0245


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.028
2.
-0.028
3.
-0.028
4.
-0.028
5.
-0.028

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