Started Aug 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

Will California voters approve Proposition 22 (App-Based Drivers as Contractors and Labor Policies Initiative)?

After California passed a law creating a new test to for determining whether workers can be classified as independent contractors, firms like Uber and Lyft are supporting Proposition 22 on the state ballot this November (The Hill, Daily Californian, CA Office of Attorney General). Proposition 22 would change the law to consider app-based drivers to be independent contractors (Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Correct Answer

Yes

Final Crowd Forecast

80%

Chance

No. of
Forecasters

83

Forecast
Count

258

Crowd Brier Score

0.204


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.203
3.
-0.203
5.
-0.198