Tim Harford asks:
When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen two million or more travelers in a single day?
Started
Sep 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 13, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 13, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Commercial air travel in the U.S. is increasing, but still remains much lower than before the COVID-19 pandemic (CNN). The outcome will be determined using Total Traveler Throughput data reported by the TSA (TSA). The TSA last screened two million or more travelers in a single day on 8 March 2020.
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The question closed "Between 1 April 2021 and 30 June 2021" with a closing date of 13 June 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 1 January 2021 | 0% | |
Between 1 January 2021 and 31 March 2021 | 0% | |
Between 1 April 2021 and 30 June 2021 | 98% | |
Between 1 July 2021 and 30 September 2021 | 2% | |
Not before 1 October 2021 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 230 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1396 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |