Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Between 15 September 2020 and 30 November 2020, will a country cease to formally recognize Taiwan?
Closed Dec 01, 2020 08:01AM UTC
In recent decades, many countries have ceased to recognize the Republic of China (ROC), commonly known as Taiwan, in favor of recognition of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). A handful of countries continue to recognize the ROC (Taiwan Ministry of Foreign Affairs). Two countries in Oceania, the Solomon Islands and Kiribati, were the countries to most recently cease to recognize the ROC (Newsweek).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 December 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 176 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 475 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |