024_andrew and The Economist ask:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Prime Minister Boris Johnson's premiership began in July 2019 after Theresa May stepped down (Britannica). He continues to lead the UK through final Brexit negotiations with the EU (EconomistBBC, Independent).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 18 September 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 591
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 1871
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.02
3.
-0.02
4.
-0.02
5.
-0.02

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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