Started Sep 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC

024_andrew and The Economist ask:

Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?

Prime Minister Boris Johnson's premiership began in July 2019 after Theresa May stepped down (Britannica). He continues to lead the UK through final Brexit negotiations with the EU (EconomistBBC, Independent).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 18 September 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

591

Forecast
Count

1871

Crowd Brier Score

0.0163


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.02
3.
-0.02
4.
-0.02
5.
-0.02

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