SE_Meyer asks:

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan cease to be president of Turkey before 15 July 2021?

Started Sep 25, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Erdoğan is embroiled in several controversies in the region, including active engagement in the Libyan civil war, oil & gas exploration in the eastern Mediterranean, and Turkey's acquisition of Russian S-400 missile systems despite warnings from the U.S. and NATO (Al Jazeera, BBC, Defense News).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 July 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 201
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 560
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0
3.
-0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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