Question 5 of 29 in Coronavirus Outbreak
Started Oct 09, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Dec 31, 2020 08:01AM UTC

For any seven consecutive day period between 9 October and 31 December 2020, will there be fewer than 2,000 deaths of COVID-19 in the Brazil?


The outcome of this question will be determined using data for Brazil States reported by the World Health Organization between 9 October 2020 and 31 December 2020 (WHO COVID-19 Dashboard (Brazil)). For the seven consecutive day period from 22 September 2020 and 28 September 2020 (using daily numbers), WHO reported 4,874 deaths. Deaths data for days prior to 9 October 2020 are immaterial to the resolution of this question. The data provided on the WHO Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Dashboard at approximately 5:00PM ET each day will now be used to resolve this question.

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Name Probability
Yes 22%

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