For any seven consecutive day period between 9 October and 31 December 2020, will there be fewer than 2,000 deaths of COVID-19 in the Brazil?
Closed Nov 08, 2020 07:00PM UTC
The outcome of this question will be determined using data for Brazil States reported by the World Health Organization between 9 October 2020 and 31 December 2020 (WHO COVID-19 Dashboard (Brazil)). For the seven consecutive day period from 22 September 2020 and 28 September 2020 (using daily numbers), WHO reported 4,874 deaths. Deaths data for days prior to 9 October 2020 are immaterial to the resolution of this question. The data provided on the WHO Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Dashboard at approximately 5:00PM ET each day will now be used to resolve this question.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 8 November 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 78.50% | |
| No | 21.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 53 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 193 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
