What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 13 November 2020 relative to its closing value on 2 November 2020?
Started
Oct 15, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 13, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 13, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
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The question closed "Higher by between 4% and 12%, inclusive" with a closing date of 13 November 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower by more than 12% | 0% | |
| Lower by between 4% and 12%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Between lower by less than 4% and higher by less than 4% | 3% | |
| Higher by between 4% and 12%, inclusive | 97% | |
| Higher by more than 12% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 87 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 263 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
