Tylerdurden03 asks:

When will Canada next permit discretionary travel for foreign nationals arriving from the United States?

Started Oct 16, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Travel from the U.S. to Canada for discretionary reasons (non-essential), such as for tourism, recreation or entertainment, is currently prohibited due to COVID-19 (Government of Canada, U.S. Embassy - Canada, Bloomberg). Permitting discretionary travel for one or more points of entry from the U.S. to Canada would count.

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NOTE 27 April 2021: Canada permitting discretionary travel for foreign nationals arriving from the United States solely for those who are vaccinated for COVID-19 would count.


The question closed "Not before 1 June 2021" with a closing date of 1 June 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 December 2020 0%
Between 1 December 2020 and 31 January 2021 0%
Between 1 February 2021 and 31 March 2021 0%
Between 1 April 2021 and 31 May 2021 0%
Not before 1 June 2021 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 182
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 720
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.101
3.
-0.098
4.
-0.096
5.
-0.092

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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