How many countries will have 100,000 or more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 30 April 2021?
Closed Apr 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
As of 23 October 2020, 3 countries have more than one hundred thousand deaths from COVID-19: the U.S., Brazil, and India (France24). The outcome of this question will be determined using data reported by the World Health Organization at approximately 5:00PM ET on 30 April 2021 (WHO COVID-19 Dashboard).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "7 or 8" with a closing date of 30 April 2021.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
3 | 0% | |
4 | 0% | |
5 or 6 | 0% | |
7 or 8 | 100% | |
9 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 290 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1685 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |