Before 1 May 2021, will Mahmoud Abbas cease to be president of the Palestinian Authority?

Started Nov 06, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Challenges

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas finds himself under increased pressure as Arab states improve ties with Israel and political rivals jockey for position (Middle East Monitor, Times of Israel, Foreign Policy).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 May 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 91
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 302
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.019
3.
-0.017
4.
-0.016
5.
-0.016

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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