Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the Washington Football Team (fka Washington Redskins) win five or more regular season games in the 2020 NFL season?

Started Nov 09, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 08, 2020 01:35AM UTC

The outcome will be determined using team record data as reported by the NFL (NFL). Ties would be counted as 1/2 of a win (NFL).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 7 December 2020.

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Resolution Notes

The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 7 December 2020.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 85.00%
No 15.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 119
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 255
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.552
2.
-0.522
3.
-0.501
4.
-0.501
5.
-0.5

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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