Will Nancy Pelosi be re-elected as Speaker of the House of Representatives in the 117th Congress?
Started
Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 03, 2021 08:15PM UTC
Closed Jan 03, 2021 08:15PM UTC
Challenges
As hopes for a "blue wave" in the 2020 U.S. elections did not materialize and Democrats have lost several net seats in the House of Representatives, speculation abounds as to whether Speaker Pelosi will continue on in the role (Politico, CBS News, Newsweek). The House will elect its Speaker for the 117th Congress on or about 3 January 2021 (EveryCRSReport.com).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 3 January 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.00% | |
| No | 1.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 267 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 440 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
