Who will win Georgia's special election runoff for the U.S. Senate (Class III seat)?

Started Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 05, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Because no candidate won a majority of votes in Georgia's 2020 special election for the U.S. Senate, a runoff has been scheduled for 5 January 2021 that could decide control of the Senate (CNN, WTOC).

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The question closed "Raphael Warnock (D)" with a closing date of 5 January 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Kelly Loeffler (R) 48%
Raphael Warnock (D) 52%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 284
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 662
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.586
2.
-0.534
3.
-0.53
4.
-0.516
5.
-0.461

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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