The Economist asks:
On 12 May 2021, will Ethiopia's Tigray region be under a federally-imposed state of emergency?
Closed May 12, 2021 07:01AM UTC
On 4 November 2020, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed declared, and lawmakers approved, a state of emergency in the Tigray region following unrest that included an attack on a military base and controversial regional elections (Economist, Al Jazeera, BBC, CNN). The state of emergency can last up to 6 months at which point it expires or the government votes to renew it (Ethiopian Constitution, see Article 93).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 13 May 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 97.50% | |
| No | 2.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 185 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 470 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
