Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 April 2021?

Started Nov 13, 2020 10:30PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Nicolas Maduro remains in power despite continued international pressure and domestic instability (Guardian, Al Jazeera, Newsweek).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

This question is a longer-term companion of #1642.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 April 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 261
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 601
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001138
2.
-0.001138
3.
-0.001138
4.
-0.001138
5.
-0.001138

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username