Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Which NFL quarterback will throw for the most touchdowns in the 2020 regular season?

Started Nov 17, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 03, 2021 08:01AM UTC

The outcome will be determined using "NFL Player Passing Stats 2020" data as reported by ESPN (ESPN). In the event of a tie, the quarterback who threw for the most yards per game (YDS/G) will be considered to have thrown for the most touchdowns, followed by completion percentage (CMP%).

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The question closed "Aaron Rogers" with a closing date of 3 January 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Tom Brady 0%
Patrick Mahomes 0%
Aaron Rogers 100%
Russell Wilson 0%
Another quarterback 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 86
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 242
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.343
4.
-0.31
5.
-0.292

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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