Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the average price of a gallon of gasoline fall below $1.95 for any week before 2 March 2021?
Started
Nov 17, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
The initial onset of the COVID-19 pandemic drove gasoline prices under $2.00 per gallon across much of the country (Newsweek). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Energy Information Administration for "Weekly U.S. All Grades All Formulations Retail Gasoline Prices" (EIA).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 March 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 175 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 461 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
