Started Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Mar 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Who will be appointed as the next leader of the Communist Party in Vietnam?

Vietnam's next National Party Congress is scheduled for January 2021, at which the next secretary-general of the party is meant to be appointed (Economist, Vietnam Times). Rumors have suggested some of the top leadership positions could be consolidated (Diplomat).

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NOTE 26 January 2021: If a new leader other than the incumbent is not appointed before 1 March 2021, then the question will close "A new leader will not be appointed before 1 March 2021."


The question closed "A new leader will not be appointed before 1 March 2021" with a closing date of 1 March 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Nguyễn Thị Kim Ngân 0%
Nguyễn Xuân Phúc 0%
Trần Quốc Vượng 0%
Someone else 0%
A new leader will not be appointed before 1 March 2021 100%

No. of
Forecasters

132

Forecast
Count

298

Crowd Brier Score

1.3661


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.476
2.
-1.387
3.
-1.23
4.
-1.088
5.
-1.007

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