Started Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist and Adam Grant ask:

How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved and/or authorized for emergency use by the U.S. FDA as of 31 March 2021?

The race to develop COVID-19 vaccines is on (Economist, FDA, FDA).

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The question closed "3" with a closing date of 1 April 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Zero 0%
1 0%
2 0%
3 100%
4 or more 0%

No. of
Forecasters

640

Forecast
Count

1938

Crowd Brier Score

0.0962


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.121
2.
-0.113
3.
-0.111
5.
-0.108

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