The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will Jair Bolsonaro cease to be the president of Brazil?

Started Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Since taking office in 2019, President Bolsonaro has thus far survived scandals and the devastating effects of COVID-19 in the country (Economist).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 300
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 770
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

3.
-0.004
4.
-0.004
5.
-0.004

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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