Started Nov 27, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will Jair Bolsonaro cease to be the president of Brazil?

Since taking office in 2019, President Bolsonaro has thus far survived scandals and the devastating effects of COVID-19 in the country (Economist).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

300

Forecast
Count

770

Crowd Brier Score

0.0037


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

3.
-0.004
4.
-0.004
5.
-0.004

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