Started Dec 04, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Who will win the 2021 presidential election in Peru?

Peru has seen a series of presidents come and go in late 2020 (Economist, CNN, Reuters). The presidential election is scheduled for 2021 with the first round of voting taking place on 11 April 2021 and a runoff scheduled for 6 June 2021 if needed (Peruvian Times).

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NOTE 15 December 2020: If the first round of the election takes place and requires a subsequent runoff scheduled for after 30 September 2021, the suspend date would be extended to accommodate the runoff. If no election takes place before 1 October 2021, the suspend date would not be extended and the question would resolve on that answer bin.

Name Probability
A candidate from Acción Popular (Popular Action) 7%
A candidate from Alianza para el Progreso (Alliance for Progress) 1%
A candidate from Fuerza Popular (Popular Force) 15%
A candidate from Partido Morado (Purple Party) 6%
Another candidate 70%
There will not be a presidential election in Peru before 1 October 2021 1%

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