Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the closing price of natural gas (per MMBtu) on 1 June 2021, according to Bloomberg?
Started
Dec 09, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Tags
The outcome will be determined using futures price data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
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The question closed "Between $3.00 and $3.50, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 June 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $2.00 | 0% | |
| Between $2.00 and $2.50, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than $2.50 but less than $3.00 | 47% | |
| Between $3.00 and $3.50, inclusive | 53% | |
| More than $3.50 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 57 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 529 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
