In Cedar Point Nursery v. Hassid, will the Supreme Court rule that California's access regulation, as applied to Cedar Point Nursery, is a per se physical taking under the federal constitution?

Started Dec 11, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 23, 2021 02:30PM UTC
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Cedar Point Nursery sued California over state regulations allowing union organizers access to employees on their employers' property without compensation under limited circumstances (Oyez, SCOTUSblog, Bloomberg Law, National Law Review). The trial court dismissed the lawsuit and the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals affirmed (Casetext). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2020 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 23 June 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 55.00%
No 45.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 148
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.076746
2.
-0.076746
3.
-0.076721
5.
-0.075918

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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