The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Will the United States and China sign a trade agreement before 1 July 2021?

Started Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The latest trade agreement between the United States and China was the so-called “Phase One” agreement signed in January 2020 (U.S. Trade Representative, CNBC, Reuters, FOX Business, Reuters).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 271
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 543
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.003224
2.
-0.003224
3.
-0.003224

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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