What will be the closing yield for the 30 year U.S. Treasury on 31 December 2021?

Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC

The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury saw new record lows in March 2020 as the scale of the economic impact of COVID-19 became clear (CNBC, Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by CNBC (CNBC).

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The question closed "Between 1.500 and 2.000, inclusive" with a closing date of 31 December 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1.500 0%
Between 1.500 and 2.000, inclusive 99%
More than 2.000 but less than 2.500 1%
Between 2.500 and 3.000, inclusive 0%
More than 3.000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 131
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1172
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.212
2.
-0.208
3.
-0.174

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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