What will be the closing yield for the 30 year U.S. Treasury on 31 December 2021?
Started
Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury saw new record lows in March 2020 as the scale of the economic impact of COVID-19 became clear (CNBC, Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by CNBC (CNBC).
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The question closed "Between 1.500 and 2.000, inclusive" with a closing date of 31 December 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 1.500 | 0% | |
Between 1.500 and 2.000, inclusive | 99% | |
More than 2.000 but less than 2.500 | 1% | |
Between 2.500 and 3.000, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 3.000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 131 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1172 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |