Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
When will Mexico’s Chamber of Deputies approve the Federal Law for the Regulation of Cannabis?
Closed Mar 10, 2021 10:30PM UTC
After several delays and being approved by the Senate of the Republic, the Federal Law for the Regulation of Cannabis is scheduled for a vote by Mexico’s Chamber of Deputies sometime between February and April 2021 (Forbes, Wall Street Journal, Xataka [in Spanish], El Economista [in Spanish]). The approval of an amended version of the legislation approved by the Mexican Senate would count. Whether the legislation actually becomes law is immaterial, and procedural votes other than final approval by the Chamber would not count.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
The question closed "Between 1 March 2021 and 31 March 2021" with a closing date of 10 March 2021.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Before 1 March 2021 | 0% | |
Between 1 March and 31 March 2021 | 100% | |
Between 1 April 2021 and 30 April 2021 | 0% | |
Not before 1 May 2021 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 21 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
Number of Forecasts | 65 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |