The Economist asks:
Will Mexico hold a referendum on President Andrés Manuel López Obrador before 1 September 2021?
Started
Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, known by AMLO, has suggested that a referendum on his presidency be held in conjunction with the June 2021 midterm elections (Economist, Reuters). Whether a referendum is binding or has any legal effect would be immaterial.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 September 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, and a majority of the vote will be in support of President López Obrador | 0% | |
Yes, but a majority of the vote will not be in support of President López Obrador | 0% | |
No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 109 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 253 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |