Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Will Mexico hold a referendum on President Andrés Manuel López Obrador before 1 September 2021?

Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, known by AMLO, has suggested that a referendum on his presidency be held in conjunction with the June 2021 midterm elections (Economist, Reuters). Whether a referendum is binding or has any legal effect would be immaterial.

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Name Probability
Yes, and a majority of the vote will be in support of President López Obrador 10%
Yes, but a majority of the vote will not be in support of President López Obrador 0%
No 90%

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