Tim Harford asks:
What will Uber's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?
Started
Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "Market Cap" figure as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).
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The question closed "Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive" with a closing date of 31 December 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than $75 billion | 4% | |
Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive | 96% | |
More than $100 billion but less than $125 billion | 0% | |
Between $125 billion and $150 billion, inclusive | 0% | |
More than $150 billion | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 170 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1358 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |