Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?

The next Dutch general election is scheduled for 17 March 2021 (Economist, Dutch News, BBC, houseofrepresentatives.nl). After the 2017 election, it took political parties a record amount of time for a new coalition government to be installed (Reuters). A caretaker government would not count.

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Name Probability
Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021 73%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021 22%
Not before 18 September 2021 5%

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