How many U.S. states will have an infection rate of 1.0 or greater for COVID-19 as of 31 March 2021?
Closed Mar 31, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The infection rate (also known as Rt) "is the estimated number of new people each COVID-positive person will infect" (COVID Act Now - Glossary). The outcome will be determined using data from covidactnow.org at approximately 5:00PM ET on 31 March 2021. See the table "Compare," set to "States," under "INFECTION RATE." As of 19 January 2021, 19 states had an infection rate at or above a 1.0. For the purposes of this question, the District of Columbia is considered a state.
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The question closed "29 or more" with a closing date of 31 March 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 7 or fewer | 0% | |
| Between 8 and 14 | 0% | |
| Between 15 and 21 | 0% | |
| Between 22 and 28 | 0% | |
| 29 or more | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 141 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 748 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
