When will the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) report 1.1 million or more total cases of COVID-19 in Canada?

Started Jan 22, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 16, 2021 11:00PM UTC

COVID-19 cases in Canada jumped with the onset of winter, and officials are working to get the outbreak under control (CBC). The outcome will be determined based on data provided by PHAC (PHAC). Daily number data can be obtained by clicking the ".CSV" button to the right of the primary graphic on the linked PHAC page. See daily number data ("numtoday") associated with daily entries for "Canada" under "prname."

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The question closed "Between 1 April 2021 and 30 April 2021" with a closing date of 16 April 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 March 2021 0%
Between 1 March 2021 and 31 March 2021 0%
Between 1 April 2021 and 30 April 2021 100%
Between 1 May 2021 and 31 May 2021 0%
Not before 1 June 2021 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 79
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 528
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.253
2.
-0.249
3.
-0.198
4.
-0.186
5.
-0.181

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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