How many vacancies will arise on the U.S. Supreme Court in 2021?
Started
Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
The last vacancy on the Supreme Court occurred when Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg passed away in 2020 (NPR, Supreme Court). For the purposes of this question, any new seats established by Congress would constitute arisen vacancies.
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The question closed "0" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | |
| 3 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 194 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 868 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
