Will the United States report more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 31 December 2021 than will the European Union?

Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC

The outcome will be determined using deaths data as reported by WHO for the United States and for those countries that were EU member states as of 1 January 2021 (WHO, see 'Deaths - cumulative total', European Union). Data for 2021 will be evaluated at approximately 5:00PM ET on 3 January 2022 and inclusive of deaths before this question's launch.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 187
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 818
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.013
2.
-0.013
3.
-0.012
4.
-0.012
5.
-0.012

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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